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Simply Rational Decision Making in the Real World 1st Edition by Gerd Gigerenzer 019939007X 9780199390076

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Simply Rational Decision Making in the Real World 1st Edition Gerd Gigerenzer Digital Instant Download

Author(s): Gerd Gigerenzer
ISBN(s): 9780199390076, 019939007X
Edition: 1
File Details: PDF, 6.63 MB
Year: 2015
Language: english
SKU: EB-5209186 Category: Tag:

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Product details:

ISBN 10:         019939007X
ISBN 13: 978-0199390076
Author:          Gerd Gigerenzer

Statistical illiteracy can have an enormously negative impact on decision making. This volume of collected papers brings together applied and theoretical research on risks and decision making across the fields of medicine, psychology, and economics. Collectively, the essays demonstrate why the frame in which statistics are communicated is essential for broader understanding and sound decision making, and that understanding risks and uncertainty has wide-reaching implications for daily life. Gerd Gigerenzer provides a lucid review and catalog of concrete instances of heuristics, or rules of thumb, that people and animals rely on to make decisions under uncertainty, explaining why these are very often more rational than probability models. After a critical look at behavioral theories that do not model actual psychological processes, the book concludes with a call for a “heuristic revolution” that will enable us to understand the ecological rationality of both statistics and heuristics, and bring a dose of sanity to the study of rationality.
 

Simply Rational Decision Making in the Real World 1st Table of contents:

Introduction
1. How I Got Started Teaching Physicians and Judges Risk Literacy

Part I. The Art of Risk Communication
2. Why Do Single Event Probabilities Confuse Patients?
3. HIV Screening: Helping Clinicians Make Sense of Test Results
4. Breast Cancer Screening Pamphlets Mislead Women

Part II. Health Statistics
5. Helping Doctors and Patients Make Sense of Health Statistics
6. Public Knowledge of Benefits of Breast and Prostate Cancer Screening in Europe

Part III. Smart Heuristics
7. Heuristic Decision Making
8. The Recognition Heuristic: A Decade of Research

Part IV. Intuitions about Sports and Gender
9. The Hot Hand Exists in Volleyball and Is Used for Allocation Decisions
10. Stereotypes about Men’s and Women’s Intuitions: A Study of Two Nations

Part V. Theory
11. As-If Behavioral Economics: Neoclassical Economics in Disguise?
12. Personal Reflections on Theory and Psychology

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