Invisible in the Storm The Role of Mathematics in Understanding Weather 1st Edition by Ian Roulstone, John Norbury ISBN 978-0691152721 0691152721
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Product details:
ISBN 10: 0691152721
ISBN 13: 978-0691152721
Author: Ian Roulstone, John Norbury
An accessible book that examines the mathematics of weather prediction
Invisible in the Storm is the first book to recount the history, personalities, and ideas behind one of the greatest scientific successes of modern times―the use of mathematics in weather prediction. Although humans have tried to forecast weather for millennia, mathematical principles were used in meteorology only after the turn of the twentieth century. From the first proposal for using mathematics to predict weather, to the supercomputers that now process meteorological information gathered from satellites and weather stations, Ian Roulstone and John Norbury narrate the groundbreaking evolution of modern forecasting.
The authors begin with Vilhelm Bjerknes, a Norwegian physicist and meteorologist who in 1904 came up with a method now known as numerical weather prediction. Although his proposed calculations could not be implemented without computers, his early attempts, along with those of Lewis Fry Richardson, marked a turning point in atmospheric science. Roulstone and Norbury describe the discovery of chaos theory’s butterfly effect, in which tiny variations in initial conditions produce large variations in the long-term behavior of a system―dashing the hopes of perfect predictability for weather patterns. They explore how weather forecasters today formulate their ideas through state-of-the-art mathematics, taking into account limitations to predictability. Millions of variables―known, unknown, and approximate―as well as billions of calculations, are involved in every forecast, producing informative and fascinating modern computer simulations of the Earth system.
Accessible and timely, Invisible in the Storm explains the crucial role of mathematics in understanding the ever-changing weather.
Table of contents:
ONE – The Fabric of a Vision
TWO – From Lore to Laws
THREE – Advances and Adversity
FOUR – When the Wind Blows the Wind
INTERLUDE – A Gordian Knot
FIVE – Constraining the Possibilities
SIX – The Metamorphosis of Meteorology
Color Insert
SEVEN – Math Gets the Picture
EIGHT – Predicting in the Presence of Chaos
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Tags: Ian Roulstone, John Norbury, the Storm, The Role