Epidemic Modelling An Introduction 1st Edition by Daley, Gani ISBN 978-0521014670 0521014670

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Product details: 

ISBN 10:  0521014670

ISBN 13: 978-0521014670

Author: D. J. Daley, J. Gani 

This general introduction to the mathematical techniques needed to understand epidemiology begins with an historical outline of some disease statistics dating from Daniel Bernoulli’s smallpox data of 1760. The authors then go on to describe simple deterministic and stochastic models in continuous and discrete time for epidemics taking place in either homogeneous or stratified (nonhomogeneous) populations. They offer a range of methods for constructing and analyzing models, mostly in the context of viral and bacterial diseases of human populations. These models are contrasted with models for rumors and macro-parasitic diseases. Questions of fitting data to models, and the use of models to understand methods for controlling the spread of infection, are discussed. Exercises and complementary results at the end of each chapter extend the scope of the text.

Table of contents: 

1. Some History

2. Deterministic Models

3. Stochastic Models in Continuous Time

4. Stochastic Models in Discrete Time

5. Rumours: Modelling Spread and its Cessation

6. Fitting Epidemic Data

7. The Control of Epidemics

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Tags: Daley, Gani, Epidemic Modelling, An Introduction